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基于GA−PSO−BP的装配式建筑施工安全风险评价及实证研究

Construction Safety Risk Assessment Methods and Empirical Research of Prefabricated Buildings Based on GA−PSO−BP Algorithm

  • 摘要: 为有效防控装配式建筑施工过程中的安全风险,提出一种基于GA−PSO−BP神经网络的智能安全评价模型。基于4M1E理论框架(人、机、料、法、环),结合相关系数法从初始36项候选指标中筛选出25项关键指标,构建装配式建筑施施工安全评价指标体系。在模型构建方面,将遗传算法(GA)的全局搜索能力和粒子群算法(PSO)的快速收敛特性相结合,形成GA−PSO的混合优化算法,用于确定BP神经网络的最优初始权值和阈值参数区间。通过对比仿真实验和工程案例验证GA−PSO−BP模型的的适用性。结果表明:GA−PSO−BP模型在提升精度与收敛效率方面表现出显著优势,平均误差率仅为0.94%,较传统BP神经网络(3.28%)、GA−BP模型(2.14%)及PSO−BP模型(2.80%)显著降低,且该模型仅需42次迭代即可达到最优解。工程实例中,本文模型输出的安全等级评估结果(4级)与专家评分结果及实际施工状态高度一致,表明其能够有效应对复杂施工场景的动态性与非线性特征。本文研究为装配式建筑施工安全提供了一种高精度、高效率的智能评价工具,其构建的指标体系和方法框架也可为其他类型建筑工程的安全管理提供参考。

     

    Abstract: To effectively prevent and control safety risks during prefabricated building construction, an intelligent safety assessment model based on GA−PSO−BP neural network was proposed. Grounded in the 4M1E theoretical framework (man, machine, Material, method, environment) and employing correlation coefficient analysis, 25 critical indicators were selected from an initial pool of 36 candidate indicators to establish a safety evaluation index system for prefabricated building construction. In terms of model development, the global search capability of genetic algorithm (GA) was integrated with the rapid convergence characteristics of particle swarm optimization (PSO) to form a hybrid GA-PSO optimization algorithm. This hybrid algorithm was utilized to determine the optimal initial weight and threshold parameter ranges for the BP neural network. The applicability of the GA−PSO−BP model was validated through comparative simulation experiments and engineering case studies. The results demonstrate that the GA−PSO−BP model exhibits significant advantages in improving accuracy and convergence efficiency. The average error rate was only 0.94%, representing a substantial reduction compared to traditional BP neural network (3.28%), GA−BP model (2.14%), and PSO−BP model (2.80%). Furthermore, the proposed model achieved optimal solutions in just 42 iterations. In practical engineering applications, the safety level assessment results (Level 4) generated by this model showed high consistency with expert evaluations and actual construction conditions, confirming its effectiveness in addressing the dynamic and nonlinear characteristics of complex construction scenarios.This research provides a high-precision and efficient intelligent assessment tool for prefabricated building construction safety. The established indicator system and methodological framework can also serve as a reference for safety management in other types of construction projects.

     

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