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基于正弦模糊数云模型的轨道交通施工风险评价方法

Risk Assessment Method of Rail Transit Construction of Cloud Model Based on Sinusoidal Fuzzy Number

  • 摘要: 针对轨道交通施工风险的特点,将正弦模糊数综合评价模型嵌入云模型,构建基于正弦模糊数的云模型风险评价方法。首先建立正弦模糊数模型确定风险指标权重;然后通过逆向云计算将其转换为云模型,运用云计算的基本原理获得整个项目的总体风险等级;最后应用该方法评价芜湖轨道交通1号线保顺路站至华山路站区间的施工风险等级。结果表明,正弦模糊数的表现形式更贴合实际,云模型能够对施工中风险因素的模糊性进行定性和定量之间的变换,提出的评价方法严谨,评价结果合理。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the characteristics of rail transit construction risk, the sinusoidal fuzzy number comprehensive evaluation model was embedded in the cloud model, and the risk assessment method of cloud model based on sinusoidal fuzzy number was constructed. Firstly, the sinusoidal fuzzy number model was established to determine the risk index weight.And then, it was transformed into a cloud model through reverse cloud computing. The overall risk level of whole project was obtained through the basic principles of cloud computing. Finally, this method was applied to evaluate the construction risk level of the section from Baoshun road station to Huashan road station of Wuhu rail transit line 1. The results show that the performance of sinusoidal fuzzy number is more practical, and the cloud model can transform the fuzziness of risk factors in construction between qualitative and quantitative. The proposed evaluation method is rigorous and the evaluation results are reasonable.

     

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