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基于灰色模型的锅炉煤粉细度测量的不确定度评定

Uncertainty Evaluation of Pulverized Coal Fineness of Boiler Based on Grey Model

  • 摘要: 针对小样本、分布类型未知的煤粉细度不确定度,提出一种基于灰色模型的不确定度评定方法。通过测得的煤粉细度最大分散性,定义煤粉细度灰色标准差,计算灰色不确定度;采用标准不确定度评定方法和文中提出的灰色不确定度评定方法分别评定同组燃煤锅炉煤粉细度。结果表明,两种评定方法的计算结果无显著差异,分别为0.087和0.090,且灰色模型的不确定度评定方法更简单易行。实际工况中,已知燃煤锅炉的其他条件,采用灰色模型的不确定度评定方法能快捷准确地得到最佳煤粉细度,该方法可为运行人员及时调整燃烧过程提供有效的操作指导。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the uncertainty of coal powder fineness with small sample and unknown distribution type, an uncertainty evaluation method based on grey model was proposed. Through the maximum dispersion of pulverized coal fineness measured, the grey standard deviation of pulverized coal fineness was defined, and the grey uncertainty was calculated. The standard uncertainty evaluation methods proposed in this paper and grey uncertainty were used to evaluate the pulverized coal fineness of the same group of coal-fired boilers. The results show that there is no significant difference between the two evaluation methods, which are 0.087 and 0.090 respectively, and the uncertainty evaluation method of grey model is more simple and easy. In the actual working conditions, other conditions of coal-fired boiler are known, the grey model for uncertainty evaluation can easily and accurately obtain the best pulverized coal fineness, which can provide effective operation guidance for operators to timely adjust the combustion process.

     

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