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基于置信度校验的新能源多厂站互补优化

Complementary Optimization of Multiple Renewable Energy Generation Based on Confidence Level Checking

  • 摘要: 针对新能源厂站发电的不确定性,以同时含有光伏电站和风力发电场的电力系统为研究对象,提出一种基于置信度校验的新能源多厂站互补优化方法。以降低备用需求、提高经济效益为目标建立新能源多厂站不确定性互补优化模型;使用粒子群优化算法结合内点法对优化模型进行求解,得到风电及光伏最优出力;为满足互补优化模型中的不确定性约束条件,对求得的最优出力进行置信度校验。采用所提互补优化方法在MATLAB环境下编程,对安庆地区电网2020年的新能源出力情况进行优化。结果表明:利用本文所提互补优化方法可对新能源出力进行优化,新能源出力最大提高159%,备用容量最大降低100%,经济效益提高69%,从而验证了所提互补优化方法的有效性。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the uncertainty of renewable energy generation, taking the photovoltaic (PV) station and wind turbine (WT) station as the research object, a complementary optimization method based on confidence check was proposed. With the purpose of reducing reserve requirement and improving the economic benefit, the complementary probability optimization model of multiple renewable energy generation was established. Particle swarm optimization algorithm combined with interior point method was used for the calculation of optimal power of PV and WT station. In order to meet the uncertainty constraints in the complementary optimization model, the optimal power passed the confidence level checking. The proposed complementary optimization method was programmed in MATLAB to optimize the new energy output ofAnqing Power Grid in 2020. The results slow that the renewable energy output can be optimized by using the complementary optimization method proposed in this paper. The new energy output can be increased by 159%, the standby capacity can be reduced by 100%, and the economic benefit can be increased by 69%, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed complementary optimization method.

     

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