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基于XGBoost分类算法的热舒适预测模型

Thermal Comfort Prediction Model Based on XGBoost Classification Algorithm

  • 摘要: 为考虑个性化因素对热舒适的影响,建立一种基于XGBoost分类算法的热舒适预测模型。利用独热编码的方法对原始数据进行特征参数转换,将转换后的数据作为XGBoost分类算法的输入,经迭代训练后获得最佳的公共建筑中人体热舒适预测模型;利用SHAP值对模型特征参数进行解释,得出影响个性化热舒适的关键因素。结果显示:XGBoost分类算法的热舒适预测模型在受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下的面积(AUC)和准确率分别为0.95,89%,均优于随机森林、逻辑回归、支持向量机、神经网络等算法模型,表现出较高的预测精度;影响个性化热舒适的关键因素为空气温度、相对湿度、空气风速和体重。

     

    Abstract: In order to consider the influence of personalized factors on thermal comfort, a thermal comfort prediction model based on XGBoost classification algorithm was established. The unique thermal coding method was used to convert the original data into characteristic parameters, and the converted data was used as the input of XGBoost classification algorithm. After iterative training, the optimal thermal comfort prediction model of public buildings was obtained. The SHAP value was used to explain the characteristic parameters of the model, and the key factors affecting personalized thermal comfort were obtained. The results show that the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) of thermal comfort prediction model based on XGBoost classification algorithm, are 0.95 and 89% respectively, which are better than those of the random forest algorithm models such as logistic regression, support vector machine, neural network, and showing high prediction accuracy. The key factors affecting personalized thermal comfort are air temperature, relative humidity, air speed and body weight.

     

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